The F1 circuit at this location is known for its challenging corners, specifically Turn 1 and 2. These corners, which are actually one continuous decreasing radius curve, have always posed a difficulty for drivers. In the past, the front left tire would often suffer due to the demanding nature of this curve, sometimes even ending a driver’s lap prematurely. However, with the introduction of new compounds and the requirement of ground effect set-up in the cars, the old strategies for tackling these corners are no longer effective.
The reliance on ground effect for generating downforce could also make these turns unpredictable. The length and change in direction of the corner means that the car’s handling will vary significantly between entry and exit, especially in the presence of moderate wind. Even teams with strong aerodynamics may struggle with this challenge. Mercedes, in particular, has been known to have inconsistent control over their ground effect. As a result, it wouldn’t be surprising to see some cars veer off track and ruin their qualifying laps.
Discovering a bump on the track at the wrong moment can greatly impact a car’s downforce. In recent years, we have witnessed several accidents where a car suddenly lost grip for no apparent reason. These incidents are often caused by uneven surfaces, which require certain parts of the track to be leveled. The introduction of new tarmac, combined with low grip and lack of data, adds an extra layer of tension for the teams on the pit wall. This is especially true for Williams, who are already facing challenges with the absence of a spare chassis.
Carlos Sainz seems to have been dealt an unfair hand. With the news of Fernando Alonso securing a seat at Aston Martin until 2025, there are few remaining spots on the grid that truly deserve Sainz’s talent. We had hoped that Lawrence Stroll, the owner of Aston Martin, would come to his senses and realize that his son’s position as a top-tier F1 driver was merely a dream. Unfortunately, it seems that Stroll remains oblivious to this fact, much to the detriment of Sainz and the Aston Martin F1 team.
The partnership between Fernando and Carlos would offer a genuine opportunity to win the F1 Constructors’ Championship. It would also greatly benefit the Aston Martin brand and boost car sales. However, Stroll senior appears to be blind to these advantages, which is a disappointing oversight.
There is speculation circulating that Sainz has reached an agreement with Mercedes. Considering Sauber and Williams as the only other viable options, this seems to be a positive outcome.
However, the statement “Mercedes will resolve its performance problems” appears to be losing credibility. This claim has been made for three years now, yet there is no concrete evidence of any improvements. Throughout this season, the W15 has consistently ranked between the fourth and fifth fastest car on the grid.
Interestingly, this arrangement could benefit both parties involved. Once the adults take charge at Sauber in 2026, Carlos is likely to move to Audi, and it seems that Mercedes’s young talent, Kimi Antonelli, requires more time in the F2 “oven” than previously anticipated by Toto Wolff.
Earlier, I hinted that the results in Shanghai might differ from the first three rounds. This is because the track lacks slow turns leading into long straights. Such a combination has favored the RB 20, as their advanced suspension allows them to maintain momentum in these types of corners and consequently achieve greater speed on the straights.
As rival aerodynamic programs rapidly catch up, Red Bull’s advantage at this track is gradually diminishing. Coupled with the Sprint weekend format and reduced practice time, there is an opportunity for a non-Red Bull team to secure the front row and victory. Personally, I believe McLaren has a good chance in the Sprint race, while Ferrari may excel in the Feature/Grand Prix/Long Race. Feel free to delete as desired.