Red Bull is currently facing internal conflicts, which have caused upheaval within the organization. Allegations of inappropriate behavior have led to an investigation, ultimately resulting in the unexpected departure of an aerodynamics expert. Speculation has now arisen that another key figure may also leave the team to join a rival outfit in 2025.
Max Verstappen, who is currently under contract with Red Bull until the end of 2028, is at the center of this potential shake-up. It has been reported that Verstappen’s contract is closely tied to Helmut Marko, and if the Dutch driver were to express a desire to move to another team next season, Marko would be prepared to resign from his position at Red Bull.
Mercedes Team Principal, Toto Wolff, has consistently shown interest in signing Verstappen. Rumors have circulated that the Silver Arrows are willing to offer Verstappen a higher salary than Lewis Hamilton’s previous earnings at Mercedes. However, given the current circumstances in the Formula 1 paddock, it seems unlikely that Verstappen will make a move before 2026.
Red Bull has enjoyed significant success in Formula 1 since the introduction of the ground-effect era in 2022. While many attribute this success to Adrian Newey, insiders suggest that Newey’s influence on the team has diminished in recent years. Consequently, it is believed that Newey’s departure in 2025 would not have a substantial impact on Red Bull’s performance. A former F1 team boss has even emphasized that Verstappen should remain with Red Bull for the upcoming season.
In contrast, Mercedes has struggled to make progress in the ground-effect era, failing to secure a race victory since 2022. Despite their efforts, the team’s performance has perplexed Toto Wolff, who openly admitted to being puzzled by the car’s capabilities. Verstappen himself has stated that even a $250 million salary would be meaningless if he does not have the best car.
Looking ahead to 2026, the future for Red Bull remains uncertain. Rumors suggest that Red Bull Ford Powertrains may hinder the team’s ambitions, and the absence of Newey is expected to impact the development of the 2026 car. Meanwhile, Mercedes could potentially replicate their success from the Turbo hybrid era with the introduction of new regulations.
Despite the internal tensions at Red Bull, which have been publicly criticized by Verstappen’s father, the 26-year-old driver prioritizes performance above all else. It is possible that Verstappen may choose to overlook the current situation within the team and focus on his 2025 campaign, which could potentially be facilitated by having the best car on the grid. Additionally, Verstappen is believed to have a strong relationship with Technical Director Pierre Wache.
Verstappen has achieved remarkable success with Red Bull, and it is unlikely that he would receive the same treatment at a team like Mercedes, which has different leadership. However, the reigning world champion may explore other options for the 2026 regulations. Nevertheless, Red Bull Racing remains Verstappen’s best and perhaps only viable option for the upcoming season.